NHL Possession Efficiency Ratings

NHL statistics, ratings, possession analysis

PIT@NSH Game 4: Microstats

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Pittsburgh at Nashville Game 4:  2017 NHL Playoffs
Individual Possession Analysis
Nashville 4, Pittsburgh 1

The below charts are the results of my individual possession tracking.  Essentially documenting what each player does per each possession they have at 5v5.  Corsi%’s were retrieved from firstlinestats.com  The below chart shows each player’s turnovers per possession, and which zone they occurred in.

Maatta and Rust struggled in the defensive zone in terms of turnovers, with defensive zone turnover rates per possession at .16 and .14 respectfully.  The team average defensive zone turnover rate was .059 (~1 in 17 individual possessions).

Matt Cullen struggled with turnovers in the offensive zone, but his line mates Kessel and Kunitz picked up the slack and had lower turnover rates relative to the team average.  Average offensive zone turnover rate was .094 (~1 in 11 individual possessions), average neutral zone turnover rate was .051 (~1 in 20 individual possessions), the average defensive zone turnover rate was .059 (~1 in 17 individual possessions), and the average dump in turnover rate was .065 (~1 in 15 individual possessions).

Screen Shot 2017-06-07 at 11.06.42 PM

The below chart looks at each player’s percentage of possessions where they completed a pass to a specific zone.  Phil Kessel had 39 possessions in game 4, with a .26 Offensive Zone Passes Completed Per Possession.  Meaning that of Kessel’s 39 possessions, 10 of those possessions resulted in him completing a pass in the offensive zone.  The team average was .13, so Kessel was twice the team average.

Crosby had the highest per possession rate at .32, so ~1/3 of Crosby’s possessions at 5v5 resulted in him completing a pass in the offensive zone.  Schultz with .46 Defensive Zone Passes Completed Per Possession was the highest on the team.  So almost half of Schultz’s 5v5 individual possessions resulted in him completing a pass in the defensive zone.  Given the fact that Schultz is a very accurate passer based on my tracking, he was able to obtain a Corsi% of 57.7%.

Screen Shot 2017-06-07 at 11.07.57 PM

The chart below shows each player’s Shot Attempts (SOG, Missed, Attempt Blocked) and Shot Attempt Assists per individual possession.  The average shot attempt per individual possession was .098 (~1 in 10 individual possessions).  The average Shot Attempt Assist per individual possession was .07 (~1 in 14 individual possessions).  Archibald and Kessel led the way with .25 and .21 shot attempts per possession respectively.

Kessel and Schultz led the way in Shot Attempt Assist per individual possession at .21 and .17 respectively.  Kessel Assisted on a shot attempt on ~1 in every 5 of his individual possessions.

Screen Shot 2017-06-07 at 11.26.40 PM

Rebound% shows which players are getting to loose pucks following a shot attempt in the offensive end or the defensive end.  The Crosby-Guentzel-Rust line made the most of their offensive rebound opportunities by obtaining ~27% of the offensive zone rebound available at 5v5.  The Crosby-Guentzel-Rust line offset their well above average offensive rebound% with high turnover per possession rates.  The line average at 30% turnover rate at 5v5, where the team average was 20.4% in game 4.

The team average Offensive Rebound% in game 4 was 10.9%, and average Defensive Rebound% was 10.6%.  The Crosby line was hemmed in their defensive zone, unable to obtain defensive rebounds, thus prolonging Nashville’s offensive zone time.  Maatta and Daley struggled to obtain defensive rebounds, combining for 0 defensive rebounds between them.  Hainsey managed above average offensive and defensive rebound%’s at 15.8% and 12.5% respectively.

Screen Shot 2017-06-08 at 12.15.24 AM

This chart looks at steals per zone at 5v5.  Looking at the defensemen with high steal counts (Cole, Dumoulin, and Maatta), you can assume that they have a lot of opportunities to attempt those steals, thus more offensive zone possession for Nashville while those players were on the ice.

Hagelin is so quick in the offensive zone, that he is able to apply instant pressure once Pittsburgh loses possession of the puck or fails to get a rebound in the offensive zone.

Screen Shot 2017-06-08 at 12.23.10 AM



Written by RReed

June 8, 2017 at 12:32 AM

Posted in Uncategorized

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